The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has issued a large risk for severe on Sunday. This risk area includes portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, Tennessee, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Arkansas. Some of the larger cities that could be impacted are Dallas/Ft. Worth, Oklahoma City, Wichita, Kansas City, St. Louis, Memphis, Jackson,
Little Rock, Shreveport, and Austin. Within this slight risk area, there is an enhanced moderate risk for severe weather over portions of Oklahoma, and this risk area includes the city of Tulsa. A trough digging into the Central U.S. will cause a low pressure system to develop. This area of low pressure will enhance the uplift and shear across the region. Warm, and very moist air is moving north from the Gulf of Mexico, while drier air is moving into the mid-levels from the Mexican Plateau. With all these ingredients and dynamics coming together over the region, severe weather is expected. All modes of severe weather will be possible including tornadoes, but the main threat from this system will come in the form of damaging winds and very large hail. Sunday morning, there will likely be initial convection developing along the dry line. As daytime heating helps instability to increase across the region, showers and storms will rapidly develop by afternoon and should reach severe limits quickly. This a very dynamics system and the storms will last into the evening and overnight hours as they spread east across the risk area. Follow us on Twitter. Like us on Facebook. Add us to your Google+ circles. MyWARN is available
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