Today’s Severe Weather Outlook
The SPC has issued a risk for severe weather across the Central and Southern Plains. Portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska are in the risk that includes the cities of Abilene, Wichita Falls, Oklahoma City, Wichita, Lincoln, Garden City, and Dodge City. There will be a couple of areas within the risk area that we will be watching for thunderstorms development.
A trough and surface low pressure will be moving into the Plains. It will be providing better dynamics through the area. A cold front moving southeast will cause storms to develop in Kansas and Nebraska and these storms will initially have a threat of large hail. As the cells merge into clusters, we will see the threat for damaging wind gust to increase as well. This activity will last into the evening hours before winding down overnight.
Farther to the South, along the dry line, there will be more of a discrete supercell threat with storms having very strong updrafts. Hail and damaging wind gusts are the main concerns here as well, but there is a bit more of a tornado threat too. This activity will move east during the evening hours and should begin to wind down early Thursday morning.
For Thursday, the severe weather risk will shift eastward and will be affecting the Mississippi Valley. Portions of Missouri, Tennessee, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Louisiana are outlined in the risk. It includes the cities of Memphis, Jonesboro, Little Rock, Monroe, Shreveport, and much of the ARKLATEX.
As we look at the weekend, a more vigorous storm system will be taking shape and crossing the southern Plains. It appears there could be quite the severe weather outbreak for the southern Plains for both Saturday and Sunday and then moving into the Southeast Monday. Saturday severe weather from West-Central Texas to western Kansas is expected. By Sunday, that threat shifts to the east and will affect portions of Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. Large metro areas will be impacted by this event including Little Rock, Shreveport, Tulsa, Dallas/Ft. Worth, Oklahoma City, and Wichita. This is beginning to look like a very dangerous event and people need to be on guard for this event. Monday will see the threat of severe weather from Illinois, down through Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana.
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